Science
Tim Gaynor

Probe takes aim at US methane plume mystery

NASA and NOAA scientists identify and measure man-made and natural sources of emission hot spot in Southwest

DURANGO, Colo. — Pilot and scientist Steve Conley slipped behind the controls of a nimble single-engine Mooney aircraft and took to the air over the Four Corners region of the U.S. West as part of a quest to find the sources of a mysterious methane hot spot detected over the area from space.

Flying at about 2,000 feet, he banked hard left to circle the ventilation shaft of a coal mine as inlet tubes under the right wing of the aircraft sucked in air, which passed through equipment that detects and quantifies methane and provides results in real time.

“That’s a huge spike right there. It’s scary big,” said Conley as the instruments registered more than four times the background level downwind of the vent shaft, about 25 miles southwest of Durango. “That means that this thing is blowing out stuff like crazy.”

Conley is part of a team of top atmospheric scientists taking part in a high-stakes hunt for the sources of a vast methane plume billowing over the hydrocarbon-soaked San Juan Basin, more commonly known as the Four Corners area of Arizona, Colorado, New Mexico and Utah. The cloud was brought to public attention by NASA and University of Michigan scientists last year in a headline-grabbing study that drew on data gathered by a European Space Agency satellite from 2003 to 2009.

It revealed releases of methane, a powerful greenhouse gas, equivalent to more than the weight of the Empire State Building for each of the years observed, although its observations were not detailed enough to reveal the sources. Follow-up research in April by scientists with NASA and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) made available to Al Jazeera America has identified a trove of natural and anthropogenic, or human-produced, methane sources — including that coal mine, which was measured belching out more than a ton of the gas every hour — in the San Juan Basin. Quantifying the contribution from each will take months.

“We’re seeing a lot of interesting signals. There’s going to be a lot of work for us to really try and understand what we see,” said Andrew Aubrey of NASA’s Jet Propulsion Lab at the team’s field headquarters in a hangar at the Durango–La Plata County Airport, from which a fleet of five research aircraft flew sorties. Likely suspects include venting from abundant oil and gas operations in the San Juan Basin as well as coal mines and seepage from natural coal outcrops. Other local methane emitters also include coal power plants, landfills and cattle.

The study is being conducted as Barack Obama’s administration seeks to curb emissions of methane this year as part of its commitment to mitigate climate change. Its results, which are not expected to be released until 2016, will be closely watched by the oil and gas industry, regulators, environmentalists and residents of the region, which is home to several American Indian tribes.

As part of an air and ground campaign, scientists from NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory flew over the basin last month in two aircraft equipped with remote infrared imaging spectrometers, which analyzed reflected sunlight to detect and locate methane emissions. Researchers generated a map of large sources, then zeroed in on individual emitters in the area. NOAA aircraft — among them the Mooney flown by Conley, a contractor with Scientific Aviation, a private company — measured methane concentrations downwind of these sources to provide estimates of their emission rates.

 

Scientists Gabrielle Petron and Eryka Thorley take readings of methane close to a natural gas compressor in northern New Mexico.
Tim Gaynor

On the ground, meanwhile, two mobile laboratories outfitted with sophisticated chemical detection instruments drove hundreds of miles across the juniper-studded basin, which is the most active coal bed methane production area in the country, targeting large-point methane sources identified from the air. Just downwind of potential emitters, equipment sampled the air to analyze methane, its isotopes and other hydrocarbons to establish a chemical fingerprint of each methane source.

“We can tell the difference between a methane plume that is coming from cows or from landfills [and] from different types of oil and gas extraction,” said Gabrielle Petron, an NOAA scientist at the University of Colorado at Boulder as she drove across northwestern New Mexico in a van decked out with a long pole to collect air samples. “Based on that, we’re going to try and reconcile what we see in the air, which is a mix of all these sources, and try and untangle how much is coming from the different categories.” 

A mass of data gathered during three weeks of fieldwork in April will be collated, analyzed and submitted to peer review before the report is published next year. Researchers declined to make a quick read of the data, which they said were being gathered at a rate of half a terabyte a day. Nevertheless, a look at the raw data as they were being gathered in the field over two days suggested that substantial contributions to the plume from coal mine gas venting and fugitive emissions from natural gas facilities would likely figure significantly in the findings.

‘That’s a huge spike right there. It’s scary big. That means that this [coal mine] is blowing out stuff like crazy.’

Steve Conley

atmospheric scientist, investigator

Flying in tight circles around the mine facility, Conley measured methane upwind and downwind of the vent at various altitudes, tallying a spot emission rate that he said was equivalent to the weight of a Volkswagen Beetle every hour. “This one source was the largest emission rate that we’ve measured,” said Conley, who has a doctorate in atmospheric science from the University of California at Davis. “It’s a huge emitter, a huge source of methane ... In preliminary numbers, it’s what I’d call scary.”

Sampling on the ground, Petron and research assistant Eryka Thorley detected a strong signal at a gas compressor in northwestern New Mexico that was more than 30 times the background level and took several samples for subsequent laboratory chemical analysis. A gust of hydrogen sulfide made sample collection potentially hazardous, and the small research team was on notice to leave the area swiftly.

The study is being conducted amid a gathering push to curb emissions of methane, a potent greenhouse gas that traps 25 times as much heat as carbon pollution over the course of a century. Colorado last year became the first U.S. state to require companies to find and fix methane leaks and install capture 95 percent of emissions of methane and smog-forming volatile organic compounds.

In January of this year Obama took up regulation at the federal level, laying out plans to cut emissions from new gas wells by up to 45 percent by 2025 as part of a push to curb climate change and cut down on wasted energy. To meet that goal, the Environmental Protection Agency will issue a proposal affecting oil and gas production in coming months, and the Department of the Interior will update its standards for drilling to reduce leakage from wells on public lands.

A map showing how much methane levels varied from average background concentrations from 2003 to 2009. The Four Corners area in the Southwest is a major hot spot for emissions.
NASA/AP

While the results of the Four Points study are months away from being released, some environmentalists are already hopeful that it will demystify the plume once and for all. By providing a baseline snapshot that disaggregates the specific contributions to overall emissions from the coal, oil and gas industries and other sources, including natural seepage, it will help strengthen the case for stricter regulation.

“I want recognition that coal mines are a massive source of methane. I want recognition that the oil and gas industry need to take responsibility and fix all their leaks and all their fugitive emissions,” said Mike Eisenfeld, the New Mexico energy coordinator for the nonprofit San Juan Citizens Alliance, which has been sounding the alarm about pollution in the area for years.

“I want recognition from our government and government agencies that these are the sources, instead of perpetuating this fraud that, you know, ‘Oh, gosh, we don’t know where this is coming from. Oh, gosh, it’s not that bad. It’s floating in from Asia’ … Let’s address this problem,” he added.

While he did not want to get ahead of the research, Eric Kort, a University of Michigan professor and one of the mission’s investigators, felt that solving the riddle will lead to both a better understanding of methane emissions and provide useful information for the public and decision-makers looking to improve techniques for harvesting fossil fuels. 

“I think that there is an opportunity there to have emissions come down, and that would be good for everybody,” he said. “I do think there is a glimmer of hope.”

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